Other European Leagues · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ea4b40c16bcb90d17d3ddc8ab65693c1f1fa8d4e2900895bed06b8e2c7c6fd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…f741backed Under | 60c | 12,644$7,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,586.54 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -5.1wins | -0.43per pick | 51cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 5,598$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.74 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 39c | 2,637$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.39 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.98 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 41c | 2,221$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.11 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 42c | 1,179$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.28 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 60c | 1,143$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.71 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 850.02$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.06 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 40c | 833.64$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.18 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 40c | 642$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.44 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…aeecbacked Under | 64c | 548.58$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 69c | 469.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 50c | 456.21$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.41 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 35c | 399.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 40c | 390$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 41c | 362.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.23 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 361.52$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…ed3cbacked Over | 43c | 346.51$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 40c | 332.87$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 34c | 299.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.28 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 40c | 210.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…0b3bbacked Over | 33c | 199.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 174.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 60c | 171.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 62c | 162.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 150.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Under | 65c | 141.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 37c | 138.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 58c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 98.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Over | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 37c | 68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 34c | 50.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…d0bfbacked Under | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked Over | 40c | 40.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 41c | 39.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Over | 30c | 39.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…dfaebacked Over | 42c | 38.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…f10bbacked Under | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd96…11ebbacked Under | 63c | 29.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Under | 69c | 28.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 39c | 26.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 59c | 26.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: IK Start (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.