Other European Leagues · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d78825976ef4f518c5d0d391809af3307f03b6591d3e50014073ce79b5c8c6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 64c | 3,000$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.86 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 2,446$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 1,532$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.27 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 30c | 1,078$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.03 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 40c | 933.6$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.44 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Under | 33c | 905.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 60c | 715.76$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.3 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 34c | 672.27$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked Under | 38c | 232.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 72c | 154.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Under | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 50c | 89.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 59c | 86.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 62c | 82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 66c | 79.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 67c | 74.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 69c | 72.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…ef0dbacked Over | 59c | 68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…1911backed Under | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…8337backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 29c | 36.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 62c | 35.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 37c | 33.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 67c | 28.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 63c | 24.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 69c | 20.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 60c | 18.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 66c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked Over | 69c | 15.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 3.5this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: IK Start (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.