TailMyPicks
Market

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FK Bodø/Glimtof FK Bodø/Glimt, IK Start
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed IK Start46c2,173$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5627542.5%117 W · 158 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed FK Bodø/Glimt54c1,963$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.964654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed FK Bodø/Glimt51c1,210$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.891855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked IK Start44c1,032$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.774436.4%16 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed IK Start47c638.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.981,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed FK Bodø/Glimt47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd796…4364backed FK Bodø/Glimt53c409.15$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed IK Start41c383.93$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.47,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked IK Start47c364.15$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.1526853.7%144 W · 124 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked IK Start50c254.55$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2713357.1%76 W · 57 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed IK Start49c240$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed FK Bodø/Glimt74c192$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.922860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed FK Bodø/Glimt54c185.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.184533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed IK Start47c144.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6811161.3%68 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed FK Bodø/Glimt53c106.68$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.144654.3%25 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+36.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6c8…6327backed FK Bodø/Glimt55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed FK Bodø/Glimt56c89.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2738359.3%227 W · 156 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked FK Bodø/Glimt56c89.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2725653.1%136 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked FK Bodø/Glimt56c89.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2734358.9%202 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed IK Start49c80.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.715349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed FK Bodø/Glimt67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6322349.3%110 W · 113 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FK Bodø/Glimt56c42.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8591148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FK Bodø/Glimt52c40.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked FK Bodø/Glimt53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8616346.6%76 W · 87 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked FK Bodø/Glimt55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FK Bodø/Glimt50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked IK Start50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x263f…760dbacked FK Bodø/Glimt52c29.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…14b2backed FK Bodø/Glimt55c27.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.051346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed FK Bodø/Glimt56c22.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7840958.9%241 W · 168 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.