Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6808dd2dca7faf5ba4c8316123eb50664b2f7f3c8930bc45d95539226465b881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 63c | 2,848$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.05 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 37c | 2,432$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.43 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 1,210$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.6 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 882.69$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.77 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under | 12c | 820.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 55c | 688.87$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.88 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 48c | 662.45$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.15 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 37c | 486.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 415.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.63 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 25c | 401.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 381.03$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 37c | 299.93$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.95 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 48c | 292.66$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.06 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 68c | 263.8$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 27c | 215.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 37c | 214.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 168.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 43c | 153.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 35c | 125.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 122$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 63c | 103.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 90.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 33c | 84.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 22c | 82.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 65c | 80.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 62c | 75.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 66.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 44c | 66.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 63c | 42.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 62c | 39.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Over | 53c | 37.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 36.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 70c | 34.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd96…11ebbacked Under | 66c | 28.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 75c | 26.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…58f2backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.