Mls · resolved market
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3d4f394af1b34b1ad0e8392a9f00aec9f7e5ad97c7d72b9706739923cdaae67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orlando City SCof Inter Miami CF, Orlando City SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x568e…6980backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 2,371$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Orlando City SC | 65c | 1,952$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Orlando City SC | 65c | 1,923$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.04 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 640.5$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.88 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75af…145fbacked Inter Miami CF | 35c | 557.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Inter Miami CF | 58c | 210$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Orlando City SC | 66c | 121.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4942…3558backed Inter Miami CF | 51c | 117.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Inter Miami CF | 34c | 116.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Orlando City SC | 69c | 94.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Orlando City SC | 41c | 88.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Orlando City SC | 40c | 68.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 52.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Inter Miami CF | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Inter Miami CF | 62c | 47.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Inter Miami CF | 35c | 46.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Inter Miami CF | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Orlando City SC | 43c | 36.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Orlando City SC | 63c | 31.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Orlando City SC | 64c | 21.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Orlando City SC | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Orlando City SC | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.