Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa218099555938d39cd6de80d7de1d2b2baf66c78be0d1ba7ec3a9b28c98a79e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 64c | 940.13$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.45 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 930.67$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.03 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes | 63c | 340$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 36c | 312$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 36c | 219.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 63c | 148.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 126.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed No | 36c | 113.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 36c | 106.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 54c | 89.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 62c | 72.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Yes | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…b309backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb489…8ab9backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 38c | 28.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 62c | 19.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.