Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b96a66e7ab82dc4f80eaba514c06a72b21d53419db1e25a301c51330dcd2a84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 25,445$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,745.19 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 44c | 14,135$6,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,153.61 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 56c | 8,865$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 7,000$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.09 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 3,960$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.11 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 44c | 1,607$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.91 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 714.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.57 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 43c | 627$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.15 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 596.71$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.1 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 596.48$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 450.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 427$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.07 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 42c | 392.61$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.92 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 45c | 391.69$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 42c | 260$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 42c | 260$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 44c | 252$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 166.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 79c | 156.94$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 44c | 128.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 41c | 128$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 121.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 25c | 120.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 69c | 107.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 76c | 104.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 79c | 100.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 44c | 100.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 73.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 18c | 64.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Under | 45c | 56.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 37c | 47.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Under | 44c | 45.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 57c | 43.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 33c | 43.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 59c | 36.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e71…7913backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Under | 45c | 32.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…6d7abacked Over | 44c | 32.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…00bebacked Under | 45c | 26.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…db17backed Under | 45c | 24.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 77c | 24.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 45c | 23.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.