Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbf0697126b9e4838ccaa0c4f5e716cddac9d9fe05e4a5e88653d99a4240e33a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 3,281$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 67c | 2,676$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.93 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Under | 74c | 2,363$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 12c | 1,372$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 21c | 967.39$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.15 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Under | 73c | 900$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 77c | 580.53$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 29c | 378$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 22c | 299.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 65c | 265.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 78c | 127.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 23c | 105.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 75c | 93.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 23c | 80.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 74c | 64.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e71…7913backed Over | 24c | 63.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 26c | 57.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 78c | 49.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd96…11ebbacked Under | 76c | 42.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 33.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Under | 76c | 32.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Volendam (-2.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.