Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf837d76438820a4ea81596678b930cf205f5238f13d9291c391c812678001380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 59c | 999.96$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.98 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 14c | 926.61$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 15c | 881.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 642.24$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.75 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 16c | 409.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 380.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 348.09$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 14c | 259.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 236.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 40c | 119$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 59c | 115.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 13c | 106.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 14c | 103.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 85.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 49.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 55c | 41.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Under | 43c | 33.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 77c | 31.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…b96cbacked Over | 50c | 27.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…88aabacked Over | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…729cbacked Over | 68c | 21.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 75c | 17.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Volendam (-2.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.