Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12293c77cd212def7822e7e18253436e1fc08ba955d43834f6c8f8041f23a2e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 11,725$5,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,317.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 37c | 7,193$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.7 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Over | 50c | 3,598$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.02 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 19c | 2,350$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.22 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…b6eabacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +190.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 19c | 1,656$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.56 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 1,622$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.31 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 78c | 1,390$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.36 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 58c | 862.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 51c | 815.82$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.13 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0a…8521backed Under | 55c | 769.11$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 65c | 747.95$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.17 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 31c | 691.63$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.31 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 680.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 602.24$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 17c | 570.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 22c | 461.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 66c | 456$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…e537backed Over | 64c | 453.12$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 51c | 439.22$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 417.55$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.01 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 64c | 342.56$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 78c | 320$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 261.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…21a8backed Over | 49c | 252.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 36c | 217.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 36c | 171.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 135$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 35c | 132.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Over | 62c | 120.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 52c | 118.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 62c | 110.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Over | 63c | 109.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 35c | 103.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 34c | 93.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 34c | 83.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 77c | 74.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 19c | 61.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 60.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 51c | 56.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Under | 64c | 53.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 49c | 52.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 21c | 49.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 44c | 49.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 34c | 43.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Over | 44c | 43.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 34c | 42.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 44c | 42.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Over | 58c | 38.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 45c | 38.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Under | 36c | 36.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 56c | 35.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 54c | 30.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 63c | 27.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 26.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 26.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 56c | 23.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 58c | 22.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Volendam (-2.5)SC Heerenveen won
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.