Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f90dddc6a63bd82c14948cde18a8481585b3c6d7ab64b98173acb7dc4f4bbed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 2,470$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…53c9backed Under | 80c | 1,381$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.45 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 74c | 959.46$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.46 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 941.18$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.61 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 299.39$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 20c | 299.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 20c | 256.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 25c | 210$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…5be4backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 46c | 109.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Over | 23c | 94.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 56c | 89.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 31c | 65.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 77c | 62.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 22c | 59.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Under | 71c | 49.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 68c | 42.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 68c | 42.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 68c | 42.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 76c | 35.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd96…11ebbacked Under | 78c | 26.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 52c | 23.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked Under | 69c | 21.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 78c | 19.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.