Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x550982033d449a7ad6b1c1f7f9a414a265140734d8eec0f8e37829475e49da4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 2,044$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 1,508$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.93 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 1,157$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.66 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 53c | 544.41$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 407.76$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 214.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 50c | 202.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 69c | 144.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 39c | 130.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 84.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Under | 34c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 43.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 41c | 36.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 36.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…28e1backed Over | 61c | 32.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.