Other European Leagues · resolved market
Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc225bf0839ad4b572a631460b7ad378f8203570a4aedcc3f3f15b98cf9410dec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 5,360$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Over | 20c | 3,403$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 75c | 637.86$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.43 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 532.02$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Under | 52c | 516.67$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 406$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 60c | 356.52$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 20c | 261.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 50c | 229.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 24c | 193.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 26c | 176.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 33c | 109.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Under | 48c | 98.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 25c | 97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 25c | 78.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 77c | 68.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 67.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 20c | 64.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 21c | 62.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Over | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Over | 24c | 54.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 25c | 54.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 43c | 52.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 63c | 47.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 38c | 35.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 31c | 32.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 60c | 31.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd96…11ebbacked Under | 78c | 26.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 69c | 23.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 61c | 21.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 66c | 20.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 55c | 19.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Under | 71c | 14.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.