Asian League · resolved market
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3e731f36974a9a7fb9a19315eb50b447d0d01ac7ab5f8d7be6f2a6e193b31cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 4,826$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 4,683$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.27 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 31c | 1,626$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 608$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.17 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 70c | 348.01$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 31c | 299.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 70c | 199.4$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 69c | 181$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 69c | 181$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 64c | 157.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Under | 72c | 138.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 38c | 128.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Over | 41c | 117.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 110.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 108.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Over | 31c | 95.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…f785backed Under | 56c | 89.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 32c | 77.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 69c | 70.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd96…11ebbacked Under | 60c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Under | 62c | 66.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 74c | 64.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Under | 68c | 63.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Under | 72c | 33.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 72c | 33.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Under | 72c | 33.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…c8f1backed Over | 40c | 25.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 25.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…4520backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…0694backed Under | 76c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Under | 72c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Khaleej Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Khaleej Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.