Asian League · resolved market
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b2280274323bfbf8ffca8bba65921e2a1e162847a365f6946569535d7159462
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,659$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.89 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 22c | 957.67$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 79c | 891.27$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.27 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Under | 8c | 800$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 29c | 222$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 72c | 204.64$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 181.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 28c | 147.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 73c | 135.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 37c | 127.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 30c | 105.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed Over | 72c | 92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…c4c5backed Over | 62c | 80.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…f785backed Under | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 69c | 71.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed Under | 36c | 62.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 29c | 47.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 77c | 34.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 62c | 33.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…dd71backed Over | 63c | 28.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 80c | 24.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Over | 73c | 23.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Over | 70c | 16.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Khaleej Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Khaleej Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.