Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3134ecd930bb826c83d800e2f75aff6b8fcf929685d4a6c9295c70ed0a84e19d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Khaleej Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Khaleej Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 11c | 3,063$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.63 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 59c | 1,007$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…f1ccbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 10c | 900.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 32c | 442.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 63c | 381.57$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 21c | 299.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 38c | 263.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 34c | 103.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 36c | 101.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 64c | 101.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 30c | 92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 15c | 78.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 68c | 46.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 68c | 36.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 64c | 21.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 66c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85eb…9f5bbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 68c | 19.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…0d30backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…f668backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…1e7abacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…c0b5backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Khaleej Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.