Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd46d79aa02735ee2d7de94c633ea38d509e2495a11888b1bb6d850d1be0ea7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 2,714$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 76c | 1,700$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 1,344$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 79c | 1,258$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.02 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 75c | 1,015$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.85 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 652.16$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.47 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 42c | 599$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.8 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 68c | 585.44$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 78c | 543.92$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.26 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…6d71backed Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 389.3$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 69c | 381.3$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Under | 77c | 261.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 48c | 254.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Over | 57c | 209.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 22c | 194.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.68 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under | 32c | 140.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 77c | 129.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 65c | 78.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 75c | 77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 25c | 65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 23c | 52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd96…11ebbacked Under | 80c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 31.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 27.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 18.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Viborg FF won
- Spread: Viborg FF (-1.5)FC Midtjylland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.