Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x043502067b848c4f8add2a8ecabd610b14ef7d2cd52151938a5214015642f522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 2,000$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 1,418$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 1,227$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 45c | 708.35$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.45 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 44c | 263.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 227$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 226.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 163$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 159.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 60c | 119.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 57c | 107.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 42c | 71.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 42c | 58.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 64c | 46.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 44.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 37.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 30.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 71c | 29.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 71c | 27.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Viborg FF won
- Spread: Viborg FF (-1.5)FC Midtjylland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.