Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea3754aba63d8ee783ff835ee5e1bf633a9d8eb14ebe6932e26b2fa98db10b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,086,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,134,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,086,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 781 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 72c | 142,271$102,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,312.59 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 28c | 67,160$18,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,355.09 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 29c | 67,000$19,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,570 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes | 24c | 46,199$11,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,111.24 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 71c | 30,000$21,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,299.94 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 27,300$18,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,497.96 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed No | 71c | 26,511$18,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,823.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 25c | 26,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,500 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 25,615$18,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,860.34 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yes | 52c | 23,182$12,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,176.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 33c | 22,414$7,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,017.67 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 25c | 20,898$5,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,645.54 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…8235backed Yes | 28c | 20,685$5,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,829.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 19,529$10,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,940.62 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 66c | 18,098$12,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,026 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 28c | 16,028$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,557.47 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Yes | 24c | 11,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,359.77 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…9837backed Yes | 30c | 10,008$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,005.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,299.99 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes | 29c | 9,996$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,046.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 30c | 9,798$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,858.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 52c | 9,332$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.27 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 8,974$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.24 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 8,000$5,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,661.96 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 28c | 8,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.84 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Yes | 44c | 7,815$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 7,655$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.4 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 24c | 7,501$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700.64 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 7,304$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.35 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 29c | 7,300$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,183 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 54c | 7,288$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.12 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Yes | 29c | 7,000$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Yes | 28c | 6,975$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,021.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…d4b1backed Yes | 28c | 6,714$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.29 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4233…b16cbacked Yes | 29c | 6,519$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 41c | 6,517$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 50c | 6,299$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…81a1backed No | 67c | 6,128$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 72c | 6,063$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.13 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 28c | 5,306$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.23 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 76c | 4,800$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.63 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 30c | 4,540$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…0261backed Yes | 29c | 4,500$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 29c | 4,456$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.42 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 31c | 3,847$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 30c | 3,789$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Yes | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Yes | 29c | 3,294$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 73c | 3,253$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.69 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 67c | 3,196$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.69 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…6378backed Yes | 31c | 3,184$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3923…41b4backed Yes | 29c | 3,161$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.33 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 30c | 2,982$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.23 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bee…a715backed Yes | 75c | 2,945$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 75c | 2,859$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.49 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 63c | 2,759$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.34 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 24c | 2,362$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes | 28c | 2,348$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Yes | 30c | 2,300$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 46c | 2,195$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.1 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…4c27backed Yes | 27c | 2,118$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 70c | 2,111$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.75 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 2,023$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.95 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed No | 66c | 2,006$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.06 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.95 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Yes | 24c | 1,951$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +125%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…e5eabacked Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 71c | 1,784$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.75 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 73c | 1,762$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 72c | 1,739$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.97 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 29c | 1,730$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…961fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4655…b1bcbacked Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 30c | 1,658$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 10c | 1,641$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.94 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4723…1c3ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,597$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,574$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 29c | 1,552$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…bc0cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,546$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 65c | 1,535$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.23 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…f586backed Yes | 50c | 1,533$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d0…b4dabacked Yes | 30c | 1,484$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…2688backed Yes | 68c | 1,479$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 80c | 1,462$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…ea79backed Yes | 30c | 1,450$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 75c | 1,435$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.27 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 37c | 1,360$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.82 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…7e7abacked No | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Yes | 31c | 1,257$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…0945backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 30c | 1,227$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.67 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Yes | 31c | 1,225$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.73 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 65c | 1,209$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.