TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,255,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,327,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,255,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 716 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes11c279,496$29,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,442.5510930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eba…3865backed Yes10c131,634$12,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,954.3260%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…e798backed Yes8c125,082$9,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,437.46140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2078…bc90backed Yes9c88,267$8,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,286.560%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56ba…96abbacked Yes4c72,430$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.021816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-61.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25d7…c2bfbacked Yes3c42,219$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.98160%0 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d18…1160backed Yes6c39,800$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4321822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb68b…6893backed Yes0c30,814$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6480%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes6c30,420$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.62948.5%8 W · 86 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes6c29,599$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.373619.4%7 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes9c28,093$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.627011.4%8 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes12c27,370$3,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.866233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes9c26,085$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.8732023.4%75 W · 245 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x219d…145bbacked Yes1c25,790$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.27150%0 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b7…50c3backed Yes10c24,498$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.7430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac5…cf2ebacked Yes3c24,048$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.231520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes3c22,451$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.332420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d7…008dbacked Yes4c21,976$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.521612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-73.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x539d…1e69backed Yes10c19,551$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.611040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes7c18,755$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.39140%0 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa204…bf99backed Yes12c17,558$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.653815.8%6 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes3c17,486$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.56100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes5c16,601$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.483122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes7c16,516$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.591637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+111.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a8d…1af3backed Yes6c16,162$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-48.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ec…ca30backed Yes11c15,923$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Yes9c15,600$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.4811921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc424…39e9backed Yes1c14,842$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa241…45f7backed Yes18c13,395$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4023135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Yes5c13,036$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.471884.3%8 W · 180 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes3c12,688$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.41170%0 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes1c12,216$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.63707.1%5 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-77.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe876…dea5backed Yes21c11,861$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.7260%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfffa…00c8backed Yes5c11,775$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.69633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-54%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef08…1d55backed Yes7c11,565$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.1580%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes6c10,996$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.812324.3%10 W · 222 L-0.7wins0.00per pick5cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes2c10,953$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.727711.7%9 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c6…0c95backed Yes16c10,942$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.072227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes5c10,934$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.581035.8%6 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37cd…ea7cbacked Yes5c10,818$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc099…220dbacked Yes10c10,101$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x430f…5947backed Yes20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x833a…adecbacked Yes19c9,962$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.65520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes2c9,784$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.873429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf75f…0988backed Yes4c9,718$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.63326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-81.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…5b3fbacked Yes18c9,670$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.4120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbce…8faabacked Yes20c9,373$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes10c9,218$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.846710.4%7 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes13c9,190$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1792010%2 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9277…fd29backed Yes20c8,826$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.48119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-86.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa4…5f8cbacked Yes4c8,770$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.16147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-80.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d15…a137backed Yes21c8,139$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.17616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-78.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87c1…67eebacked Yes16c7,933$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.6850%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253b…0ae7backed Yes10c7,726$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.26316.5%2 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+243.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9182…3368backed Yes9c7,663$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.622524%6 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes12c7,504$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.483534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-51.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48ae…a5c8backed Yes1c7,222$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.89120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes3c7,144$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5321011.9%25 W · 185 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-59.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x638d…d6ffbacked Yes5c6,983$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf45d…8fd0backed Yes1c6,905$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.241010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-73.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6857…9321backed Yes16c6,736$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c96…8708backed Yes6c6,596$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.7540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e42…0098backed Yes14c6,574$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.3340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefd…4f2abacked Yes2c6,492$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.071323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73d7…11b2backed Yes14c6,471$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.723517.1%6 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes14c6,343$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.036325.4%16 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes11c6,326$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.57238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes9c6,309$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.84318.6%8 W · 35 L-8.7wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-65.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc270…1379backed Yes13c6,290$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8351020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ce…fa8cbacked Yes20c6,102$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387e…56a5backed Yes14c5,942$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.5960%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x154e…7a37backed Yes9c5,893$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes5c5,843$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.52714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-81.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes10c5,815$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.48933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-54.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes5c5,755$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.061212.5%3 W · 118 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1d…3b54backed Yes21c5,728$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.75922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes6c5,617$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.7221015.7%33 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes17c5,524$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.173315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-60.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa39e…1d88backed Yes18c5,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes18c5,435$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.31110%0 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x274a…2246backed Yes15c5,366$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.071020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-63.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed Yes10c5,268$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.8311628.4%33 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33fa…169dbacked Yes10c5,110$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-66.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca44…6d4ebacked Yes15c5,070$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.462123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5abd…b58fbacked Yes19c4,989$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.99128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-79.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes2c4,714$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99180%0 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5770…43b8backed Yes8c4,565$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.6970%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x838d…3cbdbacked Yes21c4,507$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.6340%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes2c4,459$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4912126.4%32 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes6c4,423$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.22520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44cf…2211backed Yes8c4,076$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-65.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3096…58a3backed Yes10c4,062$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.546526.2%17 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7948…9917backed Yes6c4,023$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.31612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-76.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7711…2a8dbacked Yes12c4,006$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe8…2c91backed Yes13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede6…b109backed Yes9c3,974$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes13c3,900$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes2c3,800$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.12580%0 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6986…1402backed Yes4c3,700$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.71717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-67.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ce…7c5abacked Yes20c3,562$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.65714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-70.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.