Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39104f7f48f4f379de4162f0cf64c24bf1ccb1f786fd7fafb3fbfb879fffedcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,255,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,327,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,255,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 716 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 11c | 279,496$29,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,442.55 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eba…3865backed Yes | 10c | 131,634$12,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,954.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…e798backed Yes | 8c | 125,082$9,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,437.46 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…bc90backed Yes | 9c | 88,267$8,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,286.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ba…96abbacked Yes | 4c | 72,430$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.02 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…c2bfbacked Yes | 3c | 42,219$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.98 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…1160backed Yes | 6c | 39,800$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…6893backed Yes | 0c | 30,814$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 30,420$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.62 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 6c | 29,599$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.37 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 9c | 28,093$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.62 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 12c | 27,370$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.86 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 9c | 26,085$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.87 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…145bbacked Yes | 1c | 25,790$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.27 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…50c3backed Yes | 10c | 24,498$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…cf2ebacked Yes | 3c | 24,048$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.23 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 3c | 22,451$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.33 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…008dbacked Yes | 4c | 21,976$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.52 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…1e69backed Yes | 10c | 19,551$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 7c | 18,755$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.39 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Yes | 12c | 17,558$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.65 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 3c | 17,486$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.56 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 5c | 16,601$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.48 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 7c | 16,516$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…1af3backed Yes | 6c | 16,162$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…ca30backed Yes | 11c | 15,923$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 9c | 15,600$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.48 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…39e9backed Yes | 1c | 14,842$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed Yes | 18c | 13,395$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 5c | 13,036$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.47 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 3c | 12,688$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.41 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 12,216$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…dea5backed Yes | 21c | 11,861$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…00c8backed Yes | 5c | 11,775$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…1d55backed Yes | 7c | 11,565$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 10,996$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.81 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 10,953$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…0c95backed Yes | 16c | 10,942$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.07 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 10,934$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.58 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…ea7cbacked Yes | 5c | 10,818$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc099…220dbacked Yes | 10c | 10,101$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…5947backed Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…adecbacked Yes | 19c | 9,962$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 2c | 9,784$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.87 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 4c | 9,718$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.63 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…5b3fbacked Yes | 18c | 9,670$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…8faabacked Yes | 20c | 9,373$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 10c | 9,218$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.84 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 13c | 9,190$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…fd29backed Yes | 20c | 8,826$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.48 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa4…5f8cbacked Yes | 4c | 8,770$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.16 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…a137backed Yes | 21c | 8,139$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c1…67eebacked Yes | 16c | 7,933$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 10c | 7,726$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.26 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +243.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 9c | 7,663$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.62 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 12c | 7,504$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.48 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…a5c8backed Yes | 1c | 7,222$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 3c | 7,144$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.53 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638d…d6ffbacked Yes | 5c | 6,983$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…8fd0backed Yes | 1c | 6,905$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9321backed Yes | 16c | 6,736$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…8708backed Yes | 6c | 6,596$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…0098backed Yes | 14c | 6,574$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefd…4f2abacked Yes | 2c | 6,492$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…11b2backed Yes | 14c | 6,471$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.72 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 14c | 6,343$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.03 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Yes | 11c | 6,326$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.57 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 9c | 6,309$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.8 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Yes | 13c | 6,290$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…fa8cbacked Yes | 20c | 6,102$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed Yes | 14c | 5,942$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…7a37backed Yes | 9c | 5,893$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes | 5c | 5,843$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 10c | 5,815$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 5,755$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.06 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…3b54backed Yes | 21c | 5,728$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 5,617$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.72 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 17c | 5,524$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.17 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 18c | 5,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 18c | 5,435$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.31 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…2246backed Yes | 15c | 5,366$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 10c | 5,268$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.83 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…169dbacked Yes | 10c | 5,110$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 5,070$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.46 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5abd…b58fbacked Yes | 19c | 4,989$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 2c | 4,714$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5770…43b8backed Yes | 8c | 4,565$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked Yes | 21c | 4,507$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 4,459$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 6c | 4,423$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44cf…2211backed Yes | 8c | 4,076$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 10c | 4,062$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.54 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…9917backed Yes | 6c | 4,023$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.3 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…2a8dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,006$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…2c91backed Yes | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…b109backed Yes | 9c | 3,974$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…876fbacked Yes | 13c | 3,900$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,800$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…1402backed Yes | 4c | 3,700$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…7c5abacked Yes | 20c | 3,562$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.