Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65414628f108533d689721c6b2576dd83da43644bcfd62506444f1591ef32c31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,887,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,824,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,887,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,071 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 46c | 286,532$131,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,605.04 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 1c | 280,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 62c | 59,605$36,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,893.19 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 56c | 46,675$26,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,141.72 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 33c | 42,095$14,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,073.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +192%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…c43ebacked No | 33c | 35,946$11,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,897.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed No | 48c | 32,469$15,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,610.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 49c | 30,104$14,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,697.29 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…59f2backed No | 60c | 26,490$15,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,884.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed No | 71c | 25,503$18,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,083.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8178backed No | 41c | 25,352$10,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,417.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 77c | 23,913$18,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,429.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 53c | 20,867$11,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,769.95 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 19,350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 41c | 19,050$7,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,176.81 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3589…925fbacked No | 52c | 17,684$9,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,268.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 33c | 14,805$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,953.62 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…d3f1backed Yes | 17c | 14,554$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,018.05 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 43cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 66c | 13,653$9,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,616.14 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 55c | 13,061$7,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,173.16 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d87…4f67backed No | 24c | 12,878$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…14aabacked Yes | 46c | 12,798$5,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,941.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 58c | 11,803$6,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.52 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 32c | 11,729$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,975.7 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…2919backed Yes | 53c | 11,091$5,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed No | 56c | 9,916$5,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,508.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 50c | 9,487$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,746.83 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…589cbacked Yes | 30c | 9,250$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,455 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +435.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 58c | 7,692$4,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,452.82 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…54a4backed Yes | 63c | 7,186$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d782backed Yes | 77c | 7,047$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 44c | 6,985$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.84 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 37c | 6,756$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.95 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 46c | 6,676$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 73c | 6,535$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.19 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 58c | 6,200$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.98 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 38c | 5,830$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.67 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 56c | 5,680$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…1bdbbacked No | 60c | 5,563$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 47c | 5,537$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.22 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 46c | 5,215$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.7 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed Yes | 61c | 5,048$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.7 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…d858backed Yes | 47c | 4,866$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 28c | 4,815$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.58 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked Yes | 37c | 4,812$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…b679backed Yes | 24c | 4,781$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 29c | 4,750$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.42 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No | 62c | 4,646$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.83 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 41c | 4,345$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.21 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 62c | 4,314$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.57 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…7889backed No | 56c | 4,281$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed No | 43c | 4,265$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…4344backed Yes | 60c | 4,193$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.87 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 64c | 4,172$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.12 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 34c | 4,137$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.91 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c24…a4a5backed Yes | 20c | 4,120$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 60c | 4,115$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.56 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 14c | 4,085$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.33 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b7…e2ffbacked Yes | 69c | 4,074$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 55c | 3,945$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.02 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed No | 33c | 3,942$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.3 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 70c | 3,867$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.86 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked No | 74c | 3,826$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.6 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,763$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 66c | 3,514$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.22 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked No | 39c | 3,471$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8a…b9f8backed Yes | 69c | 3,261$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf018…f0b4backed No | 58c | 3,149$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 41c | 3,105$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.23 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 18c | 3,094$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c73…04f6backed No | 56c | 3,058$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 40c | 2,914$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.2 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 40c | 2,895$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.1 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…5635backed Yes | 31c | 2,867$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 42c | 2,824$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.9 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb935…204bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,812$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.7 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 25c | 2,810$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.67 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…bc99backed Yes | 61c | 2,742$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…7688backed No | 41c | 2,729$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…8d42backed No | 46c | 2,719$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 35c | 2,695$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 61c | 2,677$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…1160backed Yes | 42c | 2,600$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…348abacked Yes | 42c | 2,595$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed No | 57c | 2,578$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.76 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 57c | 2,555$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 37c | 2,555$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 53c | 2,552$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.1 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…201abacked Yes | 79c | 2,548$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Yes | 45c | 2,434$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 44c | 2,386$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.41 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed Yes | 65c | 2,375$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked No | 38c | 2,373$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…b39cbacked No | 12c | 2,368$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 56c | 2,320$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.96 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Yes | 47c | 2,309$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.14 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 56c | 2,257$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.02 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…1077backed No | 65c | 2,245$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.85 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4c…4070backed Yes | 18c | 2,180$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked No | 33c | 2,139$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.