Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2226a3e40300238a813bddccb7cadef078ffce4c83e237d85a135e685f0b81b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,107,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,050,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,107,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 984 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 14c | 268,586$38,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,108.76 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 79c | 232,678$184,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,554.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Yes | 36c | 227,896$82,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,403.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…169dbacked Yes | 18c | 226,589$40,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,610.03 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 7c | 222,978$16,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,263.48 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 67c | 72,662$48,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,981.91 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 78c | 72,337$56,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,984.12 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 6c | 63,318$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.77 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 2c | 59,698$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.7 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 25c | 45,342$11,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,177.85 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…6893backed Yes | 1c | 42,742$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 28c | 38,169$10,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,850.94 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 7c | 37,038$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.1 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked No | 71c | 34,000$23,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,028.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 78c | 33,693$26,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,487.11 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed No | 77c | 33,548$25,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,872.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…c2bfbacked Yes | 9c | 28,871$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.42 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 76c | 28,180$21,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,714.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed Yes | 16c | 26,527$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…28f8backed Yes | 36c | 24,776$8,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,998.71 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 2c | 20,980$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.62 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b24…c4bebacked No | 80c | 20,017$15,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 10c | 19,809$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.4 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…96cabacked Yes | 15c | 18,906$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 13c | 18,405$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.74 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 1c | 18,358$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.83 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 12c | 16,728$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.32 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 9c | 16,689$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.8 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 12c | 16,115$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.41 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 18c | 15,796$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.94 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…1ab9backed Yes | 2c | 14,267$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.01 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 21c | 14,183$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.89 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eba…3865backed Yes | 10c | 14,067$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 13,984$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…f33ebacked Yes | 6c | 13,872$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 12,938$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.43 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 28c | 12,501$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.19 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…dea5backed Yes | 37c | 11,692$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,372.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 5c | 11,601$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.03 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…ca30backed Yes | 16c | 11,424$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 20c | 10,924$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.63 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 2c | 10,658$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.56 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 79c | 10,000$7,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.98 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…adecbacked Yes | 27c | 9,981$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc424…39e9backed Yes | 1c | 9,238$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 14c | 9,231$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…8fd0backed Yes | 1c | 9,208$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 26c | 8,351$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…b8debacked Yes | 11c | 8,111$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 5c | 8,041$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.79 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…f351backed No | 74c | 7,999$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…7c16backed No | 73c | 7,659$5,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…a49ebacked No | 64c | 7,599$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 14c | 7,576$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.6 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 80c | 7,171$5,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.27 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked No | 66c | 6,769$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 3c | 6,766$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 26c | 6,666$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7605…db3bbacked Yes | 11c | 6,592$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Yes | 28c | 6,586$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 78c | 6,546$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefd…4f2abacked Yes | 3c | 6,167$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…b69fbacked Yes | 11c | 6,091$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb2…d820backed Yes | 0c | 6,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812f…27f0backed Yes | 2c | 5,863$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c3…d19bbacked Yes | 36c | 5,856$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 34c | 5,800$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 24c | 5,696$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd5…6be7backed Yes | 34c | 5,590$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 4c | 5,303$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.87 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed Yes | 23c | 5,275$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.93 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe409…7cccbacked No | 77c | 5,231$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 2c | 5,119$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes | 13c | 5,110$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 16c | 5,025$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.8 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +243.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…6be7backed Yes | 2c | 5,023$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2827backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…8462backed Yes | 31c | 4,900$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed No | 76c | 4,710$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…c226backed Yes | 17c | 4,615$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…008dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,610$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd71…d70dbacked No | 77c | 4,555$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.11 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 4,542$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.46 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 39c | 4,516$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed No | 61c | 4,489$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.67 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…dccebacked Yes | 25c | 4,464$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 15c | 4,450$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.99 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…6babbacked Yes | 3c | 4,422$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 2c | 4,375$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,351$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 2c | 4,317$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…5596backed Yes | 22c | 4,315$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 23c | 4,304$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.21 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 15c | 4,284$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.77 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…2bfcbacked Yes | 37c | 4,265$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…a137backed Yes | 36c | 4,223$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…0c95backed Yes | 13c | 4,217$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.24 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.