Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0e2e14b101cd9fa15f9e264448f759d768ec89c0e307d9b62543526f1cd002e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,340,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,381,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,340,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 620 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 21c | 374,192$76,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,715.46 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 58,942$45,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,412.31 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 64c | 31,514$20,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,232.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +192%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c8…2389backed No | 73c | 25,015$18,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,739.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 72c | 20,855$15,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,814.27 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…169dbacked Yes | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 76c | 18,382$13,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.94 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 75c | 16,140$12,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.93 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9b…e9f6backed Yes | 20c | 15,404$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 14c | 12,230$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +243.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 78c | 11,610$9,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.44 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…5513backed Yes | 25c | 11,244$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed No | 63c | 10,605$6,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.07 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 75c | 10,118$7,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.76 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…fa4bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,023$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 31c | 10,000$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.99 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 56c | 9,800$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed Yes | 27c | 9,800$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…a38ebacked No | 71c | 9,127$6,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…d424backed Yes | 28c | 9,035$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked No | 72c | 8,736$6,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.56 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 23c | 8,685$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.24 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 26c | 8,682$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.28 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 22c | 8,008$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.44 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0efc…4cdebacked Yes | 28c | 7,976$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 58c | 7,378$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.08 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 4c | 7,000$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…2ee5backed Yes | 19c | 6,789$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.66 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 13c | 6,715$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.41 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 6,679$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked No | 70c | 5,976$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked No | 57c | 5,605$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 74c | 5,561$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.9 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb4…7b57backed No | 79c | 5,472$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 79cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 22c | 4,999$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 78c | 4,817$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.31 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…cc02backed No | 68c | 4,591$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 55c | 4,372$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.7 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…1596backed No | 73c | 4,089$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…4726backed Yes | 15c | 4,051$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 75c | 3,921$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.9 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 75c | 3,920$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 50c | 3,560$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.41 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 31c | 3,541$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.12 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…1160backed No | 78c | 3,500$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 24c | 3,382$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.7 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 76c | 3,363$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca68…9c6cbacked No | 79c | 3,088$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 22c | 3,037$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 32c | 2,991$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 25c | 2,964$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.08 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 25c | 2,948$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.18 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 2,947$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.41 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed Yes | 61c | 2,914$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yes | 60c | 2,888$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,802$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.31 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 60c | 2,680$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 18c | 2,678$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.51 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…c13ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,665$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked No | 74c | 2,643$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.54 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 70c | 2,535$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.59 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…5602backed No | 78c | 2,506$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 2,374$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…b7c0backed No | 76c | 2,200$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked Yes | 29c | 2,200$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed No | 74c | 2,152$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 11c | 2,146$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.96 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 61c | 2,134$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.78 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 14c | 2,081$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.92 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…35acbacked Yes | 35c | 2,081$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.82 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked No | 76c | 2,077$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.94 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 77c | 2,042$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.19 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…cb04backed No | 69c | 2,008$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…2919backed No | 77c | 1,898$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…7229backed Yes | 51c | 1,893$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 24c | 1,864$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…f187backed No | 79c | 1,851$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…e598backed Yes | 18c | 1,835$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 74c | 1,835$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.68 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed No | 71c | 1,691$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.78 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7025…229dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,678$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.7 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 68c | 1,662$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.87 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 60c | 1,644$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 78c | 1,639$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 24c | 1,602$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 8c | 1,600$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 68c | 1,560$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.79 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…0351backed No | 78c | 1,549$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…5488backed Yes | 26c | 1,545$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 59c | 1,540$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.41 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…d78bbacked No | 76c | 1,523$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.03 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbb…1cd2backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50d…bb66backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…654bbacked No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730b…cca0backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.