TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0b7…fa4b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT9536.8%35 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.73
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$25.2
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$127.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.44
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.63
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.83
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.23
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$28.38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+355.6%+$62.69
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.94
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.56
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$75.88
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+85.8%+$41.32
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+110.5%+$30.9
1H Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.27
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.07
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$62.14
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.3%+$59.94
1H Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$88.09
Spread: Falcons (-4.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.26
Colts vs. Texans: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$301.07
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.15
Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+93.7%+$230.05
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$71.69
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$157.49
1H Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.53
Spread: Patriots (-11.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$61.61
Lions vs. Bears: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$78.05
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$15.1
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$128.94
Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45.11
Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$43.75
Spread: Bills (-12.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Bills (-7.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150.04
Jets vs. Bills: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.42
Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.14
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.94
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$10.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+125%+$21.69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.65
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$54.34
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+261%+$124.01
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+222.4%+$25.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.69
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156%+$40.97
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.82
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.61
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$5.77
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33%+$10.54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$6
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.84
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+445.8%+$55.47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+152%+$29.72
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$39.13
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+221.4%+$69.49
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.87
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+900%+$184.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.78
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+217%+$35.97
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.88
All 22 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+32.1%+$17.74
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$310.23
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$76.05
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$63.62
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.72
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$73.24
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42%+$71.2
Spread: Oregon (-1.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$22.25
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123.89
Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.25
USC vs. TCU: O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.05
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$109.3
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120.3
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+85.5%+$76.36
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.09
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Flames vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$204
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+119%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+525%+$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fairfield Stags (-7.5)backed Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+84.7%+$49.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Nick Kyrgios vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$56.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.