NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x676a92a77072ae41d7f2a5625c188ba83c7fa453023176e190bb1a6239d98337

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved: Jan 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $90,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $101,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,873 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x710a…ed6cbacked Hawks	49c	16,700$8,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,517	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe971…350cbacked Knicks	51c	16,700$8,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,517	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Hawks	53c	10,483$5,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,926.93	207	44.9%93 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks	45c	8,423$3,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,789.34	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks	47c	7,329$3,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,456.33	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Hawks	51c	6,500$3,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,194.07	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Hawks	60c	5,834$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,333.6	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hawks	51c	4,423$2,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,167.45	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Knicks	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks	49c	3,427$1,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,679.29	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks	56c	3,394$1,886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,508.34	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks	51c	3,098$1,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,520.1	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks	62c	2,686$1,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.5	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Knicks	38c	2,663$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks	41c	2,607$1,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,068.91	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Knicks	52c	2,534$1,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,315.54	168	44%74 W · 94 L	-11.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks	50c	1,800$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks	46c	1,735$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.1	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks	56c	1,696$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$745.99	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Knicks	48c	1,482$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.26	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks	42c	1,451$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.53	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks	56c	1,063$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.26	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks	41c	1,006$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.68	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks	47c	887.54$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.12	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Knicks	2c	684$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.94	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Knicks	45c	672$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.4	232	50.4%117 W · 115 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks	51c	660$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.4	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Knicks	43c	600$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Hawks	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Hawks	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2f…b226backed Hawks	53c	500$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed Knicks	47c	478.72$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks	49c	441.69$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.33	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Knicks	41c	400$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Knicks	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+17.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Knicks	44c	337.82$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.99	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Hawks	57c	250$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.5	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Hawks	50c	233$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.39	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Hawks	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Knicks	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Knicks	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Knicks	50c	198.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Hawks	54c	182.42$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.31	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b7…fa4bbacked Hawks	54c	165.66$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.36	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Knicks	49c	160$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.4	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Knicks	49c	160$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.4	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks	52c	153.85$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Hawks	50c	152$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Knicks	48c	145.83$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Knicks	47c	127$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Hawks	50c	120$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae4…a127backed Knicks	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	110	41.8%46 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Knicks	51c	102.94$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	304	52.6%160 W · 144 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Knicks	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Hawks	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	175	45.7%80 W · 95 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks	47c	86.92$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.55	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Hawks	48c	75.42$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.22	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Knicks	50c	75$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	231	53.2%123 W · 108 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Knicks	38c	73.68$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Knicks	48c	72.92$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	377	55.7%210 W · 167 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks	55c	72.73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Knicks	47c	72$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.84	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Knicks	48c	70$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	162	43.8%71 W · 91 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Knicks	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	623	49.6%309 W · 314 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Knicks	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Knicks	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	717	47.6%341 W · 376 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Hawks	50c	57.98$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.99	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Knicks	42c	55.88$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Hawks	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	324	50%162 W · 162 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab5b…9b70backed Knicks	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed Knicks	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Knicks	49c	48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.52	317	54.6%173 W · 144 L	+16.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Knicks	49c	48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.52	342	54.1%185 W · 157 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6f7…8696backed Hawks	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+3.3wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Knicks	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	183	47.5%87 W · 96 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Knicks	44c	40.83$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Knicks	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	288	52.8%152 W · 136 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Knicks	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Knicks	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	331	47.4%157 W · 174 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Knicks	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Hawks	55c	37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Knicks	49c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	340	53.8%183 W · 157 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Knicks	49c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	366	51.4%188 W · 178 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Knicks	49c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	315	51.1%161 W · 154 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Knicks	49c	32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Hawks	63c	31.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Knicks	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	204	56.4%115 W · 89 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks	47c	29.46$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.71	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Knicks	50c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	633	53.1%336 W · 297 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd74d…55b8backed Hawks	50c	28$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Hawks	49c	27.78$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.17	222	47.3%105 W · 117 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+20.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	237	53.6%127 W · 110 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	273	50.9%139 W · 134 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	220	48.6%107 W · 113 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	326	49.7%162 W · 164 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	312	50.3%157 W · 155 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	238	50.8%121 W · 117 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event