NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa02b9dcb0439642d97b9741510e10fbffa51e8ee66a673e8af03f0627e7e8fe0

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Knicks, Hawks
Resolved: Jan 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $181,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $183,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,067 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3c3a…8679backed Knicks	52c	140,000$72,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,799.97	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Hawks	48c	120,734$57,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,781.84	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hawks	49c	26,968$13,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,730.26	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks	50c	11,978$5,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,989	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Knicks	51c	6,732$3,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,433.46	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	48c	3,772$1,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,978.63	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks	42c	2,478$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045.83	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks	59c	2,476$1,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.24	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks	49c	2,458$1,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,253.48	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Hawks	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Hawks	58c	1,900$1,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Hawks	48c	1,815$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.64	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Knicks	51c	1,471$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	220	35.5%78 W · 142 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Hawks	50c	1,382$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.09	211	42.7%90 W · 121 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hawks	50c	1,311$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.45	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hawks	49c	1,234$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.41	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Knicks	52c	1,022$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.62	168	44%74 W · 94 L	-11.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Knicks	56c	1,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30cb…079cbacked Hawks	54c	928.61$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.61	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.21per pick	52cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Hawks	48c	839.58$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.58	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Knicks	46c	799.99$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+17.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Hawks	56c	607.5$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.3	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Hawks	49c	600$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a8…3c7cbacked Knicks	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Knicks	52c	480.77$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks	69c	445.69$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.02	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Hawks	50c	315.86$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.93	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Hawks	48c	312.5$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.5	155	43.2%67 W · 88 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Knicks	52c	240.38$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	229	53.7%123 W · 106 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Knicks	52c	230.77$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	230	58.7%135 W · 95 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Hawks	54c	214.61$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.74	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Hawks	47c	210$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.3	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Hawks	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Hawks	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Knicks	42c	194.93$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.87	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Knicks	54c	187.03$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Knicks	40c	184.33$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.73	179	41.9%75 W · 104 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Knicks	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Knicks	47c	160$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Knicks	49c	160$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.4	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Hawks	60c	133.33$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.33	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Hawks	48c	102.04$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.06	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Hawks	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Hawks	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Knicks	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	628	48.7%306 W · 322 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Knicks	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Knicks	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Knicks	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Knicks	46c	96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.64	317	54.6%173 W · 144 L	+16.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks	52c	92$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.16	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1e…2e41backed Hawks	51c	82.35$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.35	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks	51c	81.63$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.63	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Knicks	46c	79.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	331	47.4%157 W · 174 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Knicks	46c	79.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	288	52.8%152 W · 136 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Knicks	49c	75$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.75	231	53.2%123 W · 108 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks	46c	74.45$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.38	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Knicks	47c	72$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.48	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Knicks	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	623	49.6%309 W · 314 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Knicks	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Knicks	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	717	47.6%341 W · 376 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Knicks	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Knicks	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,053	53.5%563 W · 490 L	-15.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Knicks	49c	48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.52	342	54.1%185 W · 157 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Hawks	57c	47.37$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.37	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Knicks	41c	45.62$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Knicks	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	204	56.4%115 W · 89 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Knicks	44c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Knicks	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Knicks	49c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	340	53.8%183 W · 157 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Knicks	49c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	366	51.4%188 W · 178 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Knicks	49c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	315	51.1%161 W · 154 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3839…a64dbacked Knicks	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	75.8%25 W · 8 L	+7.9wins	+0.24per pick	52cpaid	+48%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Hawks	48c	31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.12	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Hawks	49c	29.48$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.03	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Hawks	49c	26.31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.51	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Hawks	51c	25.49$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	250	58.4%146 W · 104 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Hawks	49c	24.25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.37	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+20.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	237	53.6%127 W · 110 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	273	50.9%139 W · 134 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	220	48.6%107 W · 113 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	326	49.7%162 W · 164 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	312	50.3%157 W · 155 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	238	50.8%121 W · 117 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	252	50.8%128 W · 124 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	318	52.2%166 W · 152 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	273	53.8%147 W · 126 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	479	48%230 W · 249 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Knicks	49c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	271	50.2%136 W · 135 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed Hawks	60c	23.98$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.59	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Knicks	54c	19.44$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Hawks	60c	16.95$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.78	448	44.2%198 W · 250 L	-11.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event