TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd483…6365

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
206
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$21.14
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.92
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$157.11
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$528.55
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$387.1
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.3
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+117.1%+$359.07
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$42.91
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.28
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.78
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$139.78
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$37.52
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.59
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$60.25
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+163.2%+$426.59
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+39.9%+$15.82
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26%+$9.14
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+107.2%+$22.2
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.89
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+55%+$33.03
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.6%+$20.16
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.92
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$20.13
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-40.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$61.06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.2%+$24.01
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.36
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.48
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+64%+$13.17
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.8%+$40.18
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.49
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+50.9%+$52.61
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$182.08
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.45
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.15
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+55.4%+$6.26
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.44
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.42
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+93.4%+$45.96
Will Arsenal FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$102.03
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$41.72
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$122.55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$54.7
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.28
Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$139.44
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+104.6%+$102.84
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$216
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$118.27
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$126.12
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+54.1%+$182.73
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.69
Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.25
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+29.8%+$7.75
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$82.57
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.19
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.79
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$40.06
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.6%+$16.66
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.11
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$13.2
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.14
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$112.94
Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.53
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$21.26
Will UD Almería win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+61.3%+$8.09
Will Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$48.59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+77.3%+$35.59
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$135.28
Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.12
Will CD Leganés win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24.11
Will CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$72.6
CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$46.62
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.91
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.23
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$110.51
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.94
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.72
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+75.8%+$26.43
Will Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+42.2%+$6.66
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+115.8%+$17.06
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66.6%+$56.24
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+29.1%+$3.77
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$79.69
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.43
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.2%+$66.62
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$142.05
Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.01
Rangers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Flyers vs. Canucksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10
Maple Leafs vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$11.65
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.03
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$73.06
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.94
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+63.8%+$16.14
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.62
Will Hannover 96 win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+83.1%+$11.89
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+65.5%+$15.99
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.01
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21.07
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$38.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$303.22
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.78
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+72%+$144.2
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+213%+$28.78
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$143.2
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$49.41
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$94.47
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+45.9%+$10.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.72
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+156.4%+$21.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$15.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+74.4%+$126.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+39.1%+$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+32.2%+$9.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.