College Football · resolved market
Spread: Mississippi State (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf22217211ac509b6cb90ba4566d829ec322fbffeb4874b7e41fabf44067c7d5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wake Forestof Mississippi State, Wake Forest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Mississippi State | 46c | 178,136$82,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,352.65 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Mississippi State | 47c | 118,340$55,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,559.28 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Wake Forest | 54c | 76,520$41,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,220.86 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Wake Forest | 53c | 74,811$39,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,161.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wake Forest | 54c | 64,692$34,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,958.18 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Wake Forest | 53c | 41,000$21,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,270 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Wake Forest | 54c | 33,333$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,333.18 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mississippi State | 46c | 30,234$13,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,977.18 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wake Forest | 54c | 17,213$9,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,946.07 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wake Forest | 54c | 9,539$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.09 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wake Forest | 53c | 8,308$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906.88 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Mississippi State | 46c | 8,244$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.27 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mississippi State | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wake Forest | 54c | 4,407$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.72 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wake Forest | 53c | 4,056$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.47 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wake Forest | 54c | 3,844$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.24 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wake Forest | 54c | 3,614$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.44 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Wake Forest | 54c | 3,485$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Mississippi State | 47c | 2,654$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Wake Forest | 52c | 2,378$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Mississippi State | 48c | 1,472$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Mississippi State | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Mississippi State | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Mississippi State | 47c | 983.74$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.31 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…2f03backed Mississippi State | 47c | 838.3$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Wake Forest | 54c | 755$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Mississippi State | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Mississippi State | 47c | 446.94$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Mississippi State | 47c | 445.32$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.33 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Mississippi State | 47c | 407.44$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wake Forest | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Wake Forest | 53c | 324.51$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Mississippi State | 46c | 306.33$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Wake Forest | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wake Forest | 46c | 296.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Wake Forest | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…3ab9backed Mississippi State | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Mississippi State | 46c | 282.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Mississippi State | 47c | 229.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wake Forest | 53c | 229.07$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wake Forest | 53c | 225.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Wake Forest | 55c | 221.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f34fbacked Mississippi State | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Mississippi State | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…8d1bbacked Mississippi State | 47c | 199.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Wake Forest | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Wake Forest | 54c | 183.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Wake Forest | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3f0abacked Mississippi State | 46c | 178.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Mississippi State | 47c | 176.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Mississippi State | 47c | 174.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf995…307abacked Mississippi State | 47c | 174.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Wake Forest | 54c | 173.19$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Wake Forest | 54c | 168.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Wake Forest | 56c | 161.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Mississippi State | 47c | 146.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f4…30d0backed Wake Forest | 54c | 145.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…c62fbacked Mississippi State | 47c | 125.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Mississippi State | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wake Forest | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…dffcbacked Mississippi State | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Mississippi State | 48c | 113.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Wake Forest | 55c | 112.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Mississippi State | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Wake Forest | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d64…3ae2backed Wake Forest | 54c | 91.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Wake Forest | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…bad7backed Mississippi State | 46c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…0a46backed Mississippi State | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…1c24backed Wake Forest | 54c | 78.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…29c2backed Wake Forest | 54c | 76.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Wake Forest | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Wake Forest | 54c | 72.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8e…cac2backed Wake Forest | 54c | 72.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…85a5backed Wake Forest | 54c | 69.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e10…b8d4backed Mississippi State | 26c | 66.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Wake Forest | 54c | 65.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Wake Forest | 54c | 64.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Wake Forest | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Wake Forest | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Wake Forest | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Wake Forest | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Mississippi State | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Wake Forest | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Wake Forest | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Wake Forest | 52c | 45.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Mississippi State | 47c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…da45backed Mississippi State | 47c | 41.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Wake Forest | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Wake Forest | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Wake Forest | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Wake Forest | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Wake Forest | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Wake Forest | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Wake Forest | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Wake Forest | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Wake Forest | 57c | 35.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…3f3bbacked Mississippi State | 47c | 35.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wake Forest | 67c | 34.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…4e72backed Mississippi State | 46c | 32.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mississippi State (-3.5)this page
- O/U 53.5Over won
- Spread: Mississippi State (-2.5)Wake Forest won
- Spread: Mississippi State (-3.5)Wake Forest won
- Wake Forest vs. Mississippi StateWake Forest won
- Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State: 1H MoneylineWake Forest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.