TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

O/U 53.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Over49c27,236$13,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,947.272763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Under53c27,063$14,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,316.4632745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under51c22,433$11,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,440.0993548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over49c16,216$7,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,307.9839954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30015352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c9,889$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,098.5611849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over47c9,276$4,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,908.1752449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over49c9,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,59038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c8,197$3,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,345.1948546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c5,024$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,562.772,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under53c4,601$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.3438450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under52c4,408$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.1619849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over46c4,200$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.520450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Over47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1201968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Over48c3,589$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5901442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c2,001$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.514551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.992458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under37c1,637$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.472763%17 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c1,600$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.3365945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c1,595$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.3549253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under53c1,250$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c1,173$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.9762843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over49c1,108$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.1611142.3%47 W · 64 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53012450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c745$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.851861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under54c530.33$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.332552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26015751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Over48c500$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.542244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.672166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0fe6…2f03backed Under54c364.81$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1971457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Over49c350$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013242.4%56 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Under54c261.15$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.023240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.51225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under53c226.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205149%25 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over48c220.82$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.829154.9%50 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Over50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2f…b226backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10412755.9%71 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x196a…f34fbacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over47c184.2$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.631855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under52c149.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over49c149.83$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0328440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under31c141.42$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.412346.3%57 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Over49c133.72$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.722254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Over50c131.53$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.771735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over76c131.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.031154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over71c120.35$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3526940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.62842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over48c112.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+57.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533135.5%11 W · 20 L-6.1wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-36.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+125.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544250%21 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bd…8469backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563647.2%17 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+45.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa535…dffcbacked Under52c95.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.71353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.72259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.73647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over47c72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.161450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over47c72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.161346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe341…7dbebacked Over46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Under54c67.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5326846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under54c62.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.682657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over65c61.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4820553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc68…c62fbacked Under54c54.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.552161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over47c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.621553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over47c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.622454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over47c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.621346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over47c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.621850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed Under54c50.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.273240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.022642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd3…c5f4backed Under52c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x932d…68d5backed Over70c41.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…4c2cbacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe80…dad1backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under50c37.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec6…0cfebacked Under53c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.084055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.082445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.082352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.