TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0e5…bad7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.92
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$59.84
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$29.58
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$33.39
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.75
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$59.58
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.61
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$33.39
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$59.22
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.08
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.12
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$29.69
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34.37
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.07
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.42
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.9
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.68
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Spread: Mississippi State (-3.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.85
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.4
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Virginia vs. Missouribacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+166.7%+$32.5
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+94.2%+$18.43
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.76
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$39.11
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.48
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.48
Bruins vs. Predatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.89
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.3
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$69.96
All 6 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.87
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.61
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.