NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cf6960dab18fc6b6cb44a246e4b1d426f763e4302f414a79183af09282423d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $491,802 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 50c | 105,827$52,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,913.4 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 81,805$40,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,902.25 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 49c | 77,739$38,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,092 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Suns | 48c | 65,785$31,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,775.29 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 65,000$33,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,200 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.82 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 34,070$17,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,694.09 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Timberwolves | 52c | 22,000$11,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,670 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Suns | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 48c | 19,263$9,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,038.7 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 49c | 18,930$9,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,219.17 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Suns | 54c | 18,517$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 17,843$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,843.14 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Suns | 49c | 17,275$8,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,464.64 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 11,604$5,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,685.92 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 11,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,480 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Suns | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…5c74backed Timberwolves | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 9,035$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,427.29 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Suns | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 7,724$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.05 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Timberwolves | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 50c | 7,198$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Timberwolves | 50c | 7,168$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.38 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…ed78backed Timberwolves | 51c | 6,804$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 6,378$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…8b9bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 6,275$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…346fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -61%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 49c | 5,033$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Suns | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.92 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,960$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.4 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 4,872$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.26 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,752$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 48c | 4,394$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.95 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,166$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.34 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 48c | 4,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,039$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Suns | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Suns | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Suns | 49c | 3,500$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Suns | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3b…f973backed Suns | 48c | 2,951$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…831cbacked Suns | 48c | 2,893$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…3271backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,867$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3be…8241backed Suns | 48c | 2,846$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b0…4e59backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,749$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…c40cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,695$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…ce74backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,676$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e5…2ad0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,650$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…db71backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,602$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 49c | 2,555$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.83 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,553$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.52 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff96…30f6backed Suns | 48c | 2,527$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ab…1421backed Suns | 48c | 2,518$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…b6b9backed Suns | 48c | 2,506$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Suns | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Suns | 50c | 1,719$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.36 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Suns | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Suns | 50c | 1,567$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.39 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Suns | 51c | 1,538$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.9 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,493$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,492$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.32 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,481$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.62 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,312$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.66 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Suns | 51c | 1,025$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.54 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Suns | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Suns | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Suns | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Suns | 51c | 962.03$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.33 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Suns | 53c | 939.62$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 48c | 937.11$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Suns | 48c | 913.91$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Timberwolves | 50c | 852.06$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Suns | 48c | 847.8$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.94 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Suns | 60c | 833.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Suns | 49c | 824.06$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.26 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Suns | 49c | 816$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 812.22$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.22 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Timberwolves | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 786.19$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.96 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…2399backed Suns | 49c | 786$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…d27abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 779$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Timberwolves | 50c | 723.96$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Suns | 50c | 652$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.87 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 619.95$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.38 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Suns | 49c | 607.96$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.9 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Suns | 50c | 597.29$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.55 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Timberwolves | 52c | 576$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Suns | 50c | 560.94$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.47 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…0efbbacked Suns | 49c | 522.8$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.17 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Suns | 51c | 512.29$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.27 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Suns won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Suns won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Suns vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.