NBA · resolved market
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a81b494eae8f4268bfb58580f7975461541ca20d11e33a5487274380863952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,292 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 66c | 2,014$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.98 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…49b4backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…0a4fbacked Yes | 29c | 547$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…dc8bbacked Yes | 6c | 419.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 36c | 419.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…92d8backed Yes | 29c | 173.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 67c | 95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…80c0backed No | 76c | 72.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed No | 66c | 71.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…e3c3backed Yes | 32c | 68.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked No | 73c | 41.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf56e…a853backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 43 | 93%40 W · 3 L | +12.5wins | +0.29per pick | 64cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…bc1bbacked No | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 68c | 22.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Suns won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Suns won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Suns vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.