TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Suns, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,443 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeab6…d4c6backed Suns21c395$83 inLost-$82.9522140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Suns42c358.29$150 inLost-$15016147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves58c310.29$180 inWon+$130.322,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Timberwolves79c307$244 inWon+$63.352195.2%20 W · 1 L+6.8wins+0.32per pick63cpaid+94.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xed5e…326fbacked Timberwolves60c306$184 inWon+$122.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89c…9f56backed Timberwolves60c261$157 inWon+$104.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba17…c1edbacked Timberwolves60c250$150 inWon+$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7958…8c65backed Suns40c191$76 inLost-$76.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…7615backed Suns40c183$73 inLost-$73.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…3d2cbacked Timberwolves60c181$109 inWon+$72.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b61…2428backed Suns40c172$69 inLost-$68.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc548…65dcbacked Suns40c168$67 inLost-$67.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa60…7389backed Suns40c155$62 inLost-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73c…6cf1backed Suns40c129$52 inLost-$51.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…84bcbacked Timberwolves79c100$79 inWon+$21.311100%11 W · 0 L+4.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+77.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Suns43c81.51$35 inLost-$3557444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves57c64.77$37 inWon+$27.855,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Timberwolves57c35$20 inWon+$15.0527345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Timberwolves59c28.36$17 inWon+$11.631,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8563…5e98backed Timberwolves79c25$20 inWon+$5.255100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed Suns43c23.26$10 inLost-$102850%14 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Suns59c22.47$13 inLost-$13.2652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves59c18$11 inWon+$7.384,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.