TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,516 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5301,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c2,717$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Under46c2,635$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.2811156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over3c1,666$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9829810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Over1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65013544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,005$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.734,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Over1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%0 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over51c832.77$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.7114245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Under49c815$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.653148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Under75c750$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.252195.2%20 W · 1 L+6.8wins+0.32per pick63cpaid+94.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over5c700$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3330224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over53c697$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.411,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c673$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over53c615.26$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.091,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f0…0bd2backed Under10c400$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601216.7%2 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid+47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over53c367.19$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under47c366.67$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c342.64$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.594,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over21c215$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfb…3e22backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under46c200.58$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4416642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x769c…fd65backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under24c166.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.782,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under48c150.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa423…d3dfbacked Over9c146$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.663129%9 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71a0…3473backed Under48c146$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8353149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Over13c140$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.15540%22 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Over53c125.68$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4310144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Over18c120$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over54c108.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7523657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over53c108.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2522140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda43…1720backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c106.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.442,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Over21c105$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.054126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Over21c105$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.055416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c103.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd30…c3a0backed Under49c103$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.534544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2123649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x642e…063bbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Under46c95.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.845036%18 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7387…31b0backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505054%27 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Over19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.326639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc332…118fbacked Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402650%13 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.854951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under46c68.37$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9213554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c66.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.683,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Over18c66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8623441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under47c65.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8391746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8804backed Over53c63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over53c60.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.645544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.26344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c53.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c52.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under49c51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0162049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3b…fbabbacked Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258057.5%46 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Over67c48.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked Over53c47.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.022166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a0a…c04fbacked Over53c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee96…fff6backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x729c…2b1ebacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6726354%142 W · 121 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9132747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9132947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfa…832cbacked Over53c37.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+67.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dab…dc59backed Over54c35.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.394057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over55c34.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8120140.3%81 W · 120 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c31.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.962,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a1…1472backed Under47c29.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2a…7defbacked Under47c28.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.014843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Under48c23.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.275540%22 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ee…3224backed Under47c21.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c4c…b7b8backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.415054%81 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5d…b99abacked Over77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.45657.1%32 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4721049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c19.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2742853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.