TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,894 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No67c1,630$1,097 inWon+$533.265762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3372…1b98backed Yes30c630.07$187 inLost-$1871030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes35c506.15$177 inLost-$176.5444747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Yes15c480.79$70 inLost-$705538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7473…89eebacked Yes35c433.31$150 inLost-$1504151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No70c292$204 inWon+$88.484,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Yes32c250$79 inLost-$79.394639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27a6…a36cbacked Yes8c181.75$15 inLost-$15.071464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a58…f9d8backed Yes30c158.7$48 inLost-$47.612540%10 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c0…92d8backed Yes32c154.94$50 inLost-$502236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d7…d729backed Yes30c129.43$38 inLost-$38.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No68c102$69 inWon+$32.641,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38b8…9bdfbacked Yes28c96.43$27 inLost-$27933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No66c85$56 inWon+$28.927074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No71c69.18$49 inWon+$20.3422140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No72c65.92$47 inWon+$18.4496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Yes39c48.31$19 inLost-$18.849031.1%28 W · 62 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No72c47.35$34 inWon+$13.421,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes42c26$11 inLost-$10.9249247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked No74c24.74$18 inWon+$6.4610955%60 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x376d…bc1bbacked No70c21.27$15 inWon+$6.389869.4%68 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No73c21$15 inWon+$5.6777549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No68c15.5$10 inWon+$5.0288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.