NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x060cbe8a34ff0555167383f0db898a1f71398886d43d6602bf774394776c264b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,941 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 53c | 43,401$22,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,968.48 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Timberwolves | 46c | 16,304$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,804.16 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Suns | 54c | 14,821$7,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,967.23 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 12,894$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,833.62 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…c6fdbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 10,629$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,633.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Timberwolves | 47c | 10,426$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,525.53 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Suns | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 9,250$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 53c | 7,451$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 48c | 6,499$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.54 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 46c | 6,134$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.19 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,025$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.82 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 3,691$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.41 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 44c | 3,578$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.7 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,577$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.6 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 3,507$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.99 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,770$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.21 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Suns | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,964$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.83 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,945$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.68 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Suns | 53c | 1,876$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.28 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Suns | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 45c | 1,771$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.85 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff96…30f6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,721$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Suns | 54c | 1,718$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.71 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 53c | 1,696$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.81 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…831cbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,659$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,325$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.48 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Suns | 54c | 1,319$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 53c | 1,262$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…b6b9backed Suns | 52c | 1,215$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 53c | 1,206$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.18 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…ce74backed Suns | 52c | 1,165$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3be…8241backed Suns | 53c | 1,040$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…3271backed Suns | 52c | 1,031$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…db71backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Suns | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 53c | 957.01$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.11 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Suns | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 909.03$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.79 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e5…2ad0backed Suns | 52c | 821$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ab…1421backed Suns | 52c | 780$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Suns | 54c | 740.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3b…f973backed Timberwolves | 48c | 732$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Suns | 53c | 630.37$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.1 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Suns | 52c | 579.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.59 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…c40cbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 554$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 533.87$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.87 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Suns | 54c | 377$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b0…4e59backed Timberwolves | 48c | 377$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Suns | 58c | 374.43$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 362.26$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.26 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Suns | 59c | 355.93$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Suns | 54c | 349.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 47c | 339$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.07 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…5c36backed Suns | 55c | 323.01$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Timberwolves | 41c | 309.56$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Timberwolves | 45c | 298.76$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Suns | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Suns | 53c | 264$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Timberwolves | 46c | 215.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…0d79backed Timberwolves | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Timberwolves | 45c | 199.96$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…b812backed Suns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Suns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…5dd3backed Suns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Suns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…7f89backed Timberwolves | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed Suns | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Suns | 54c | 184.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9954…e3b5backed Timberwolves | 48c | 164$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 46c | 154.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 50c | 152.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…2300backed Timberwolves | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c9…14fbbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 149$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Suns | 53c | 144.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 142.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Suns | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 47c | 129.42$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…5a44backed Suns | 54c | 126.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 56c | 119.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Suns | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Suns | 52c | 113.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Timberwolves | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Suns | 56c | 109.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 106.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Timberwolves | 44c | 104.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Timberwolves | 47c | 103.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Suns | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 52c | 95.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Suns | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Suns | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Suns won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Suns won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Suns vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.