NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77ba82c9f012aca3d753b470435026a36f990584c222d5e6de9e8f94a80af55f

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,497 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	52c	12,213$6,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,862.24	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	48c	11,585$5,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,560.88	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	48c	8,760$4,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,204.8	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	52c	4,791$2,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,321.28	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc58b…2baabacked Over	50c	2,988$1,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,494	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5c…fd06backed Under	50c	2,948$1,474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,474	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3559…a3f8backed Over	50c	2,937$1,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,468.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf948…b8e6backed Under	50c	2,860$1,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,430	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over	48c	2,811$1,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,358.91	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ceb…de6abacked Under	50c	2,805$1,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,402.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4915…6d4cbacked Over	50c	2,792$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	52c	2,727$1,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,313.1	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0367…3028backed Under	50c	2,687$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,343.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b7d…bc8bbacked Under	50c	2,680$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,340	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae0…6f9dbacked Over	50c	2,559$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd482…fccdbacked Over	50c	2,548$1,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,274	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a79…9cfebacked Over	50c	2,535$1,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	227	52%118 W · 109 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b27…5d41backed Under	50c	2,379$1,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,189.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under	53c	1,500$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	49c	1,231$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.41	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Over	48c	1,098$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Under	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	52c	997.92$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under	53c	943.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	53c	914.43$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.35	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	48c	816$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.68	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over	48c	610.42$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under	53c	566$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.02	235	53.6%126 W · 109 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	52c	559.81$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.15	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	13c	438.68$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.6	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under	40c	348.61$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.17	221	40.7%90 W · 131 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	51c	332.49$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.17	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe4f0…0bd2backed Under	13c	307.68$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.68	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over	49c	244.12$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.62	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under	53c	227.4$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.88	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	54c	220$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.8	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under	52c	206.42$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.08	135	54.1%73 W · 62 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	46c	190$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.6	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Under	53c	182.98$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86	92	60.9%56 W · 36 L	+10.3wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x96d6…17b0backed Over	49c	163$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Over	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over	47c	150$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa08f…e0b6backed Over	49c	150$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Under	51c	124$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.76	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-7.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	255	59.2%151 W · 104 L	+13.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a9…f98ebacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+18%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	52c	96.14$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under	51c	94.78$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.44	207	62.3%129 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Under	32c	79.72$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.21	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-25%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over	47c	75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.25	340	47.1%160 W · 180 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over	47c	75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.25	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc931…75d0backed Under	52c	71$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over	49c	70.47$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.57	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under	50c	61$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.5	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	375	49.6%186 W · 189 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x143f…da7dbacked Under	52c	59$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.32	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+26%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x290e…0783backed Over	47c	56.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.79	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	48c	55.69$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.73	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5544…0b95backed Under	52c	54$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.92	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	51c	49.96$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.48	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17c…a0e7backed Under	52c	47$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587a…87ebbacked Under	52c	44$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under	52c	40.56$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.47	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-6.1wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under	37c	38.58$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.47	106	37.7%40 W · 66 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x785e…5542backed Under	52c	38$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.24	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under	53c	32.6$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Over	78c	30$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	59	66.1%39 W · 20 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	46c	28.72$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Over	47c	26.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf29…6870backed Over	49c	25.69$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.59	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38ed…4ed7backed Over	49c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-4.3wins	-0.25per pick	49cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeac7…367dbacked Over	49c	24.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over	49c	23.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5this page
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Suns won
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Suns won
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Devin Booker: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5No won
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Jalen Green: Points O/U 22.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
Suns vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5

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