TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,620 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over52c41,225$21,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,436.9715545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c25,000$12,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,456.891,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c23,459$11,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,995.189,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c11,424$5,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,597.671,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c10,198$4,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,274.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under48c6,240$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.828554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c6,237$3,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,056.131,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c5,962$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c5,799$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.82,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c4,877$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.51,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over49c4,500$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20514245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8e9…5c74backed Under49c4,199$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.48650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over49c4,172$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.2831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under30c3,220$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.533,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under48c2,280$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.630446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c2,193$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.782,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under49c2,029$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.7617349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c1,976$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.563,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.6718448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,531$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.3750754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,475$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under48c1,460$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.4270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under49c1,387$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.4517953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under49c1,380$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.0125951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over66c1,253$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.96764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under52c1,173$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.0824847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under18c1,139$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.3726337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,059$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.394,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c1,008$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.123,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under49c999.95$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.9780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.391,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under48c960$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.216849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under49c876.09$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5858450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over49c863.82$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.2322140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c852.36$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.234,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c825.19$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under49c775.9$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7119445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under48c771.67$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.2771449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c613$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.881,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Under16c606.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.257334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under12c516.91$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.42,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over6c500$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2930224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over71c472.24$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.161,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c461$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.891,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under53c440.11$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.721,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under51c413.87$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8723446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010645.3%48 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over49c393.35$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7416347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over51c365.26$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8616642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8934…afb3backed Over79c314.3$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.32958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under48c300.71$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3713554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over52c287.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7139943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c287.9$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.714,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under17c269.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Under51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.11650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under35c228.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.83,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3313750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under17c204$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9277549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over52c202.62$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4951438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031954.5%174 W · 145 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed Over51c196.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.462065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdf2…740bbacked Over51c194.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3218040.6%73 W · 107 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over51c191.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4818052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8004…801fbacked Under48c182$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under49c177$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3734851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under17c172.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over45c172$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.415543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under16c169.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5610028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under44c154.76$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.921,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Under53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9410249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Over51c149$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5710144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under49c133.16$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9140546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Under48c132$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.645036%18 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9541…b58ebacked Under51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6510725.2%27 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c115$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.844747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Under48c115$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.814452.1%75 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under48c111.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under49c110.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.213155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Over11c110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.75540%22 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5ad…21f7backed Under49c108.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.162958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1791746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under48c104.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1620847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5153339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x642e…063bbacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5233949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over49c99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5110955%60 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over49c98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0228243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dab…dc59backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under60c93.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.321,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Under49c91.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8418054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.