TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x642e…063b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT4850%24 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Islanders vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Kraken vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.09
Sabres vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Flyers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Kraken vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Jets vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.28
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Blues vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.27
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$85
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Bruins vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Panthers vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$54.97
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Grizzlies vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$47.5
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+102%+$50.5
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$25.2
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$69
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$47.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61.24
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.81
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$81
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$72.84
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+54.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Arthur Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Jakub Mensikbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Miami Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Miami Open: Janice Tjen vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$55.99
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$73
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.