NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x012637ab422994b22b57157ac1c66c464e90d22c91e7219145d0c0780a0f8948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,644 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 78,013$39,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,006.63 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 49c | 9,850$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.25 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 9,448$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.43 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Over | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.94 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Over | 50c | 4,527$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.61 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 50c | 3,122$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.91 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.97 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 1,724$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.32 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 48c | 1,461$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.19 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Under | 51c | 1,089$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.62 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 33c | 1,001$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.2 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…684bbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 778.45$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.01 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 66c | 630.57$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 52c | 586$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.72 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 500$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.15 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…585bbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2557…362cbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 33c | 464.26$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…fb50backed Under | 51c | 407.84$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 12c | 380$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 51c | 364$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 46c | 332.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…c5cebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…790fbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…316abacked Under | 51c | 275.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 42c | 270.29$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 50c | 259.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 55c | 230.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked Under | 50c | 199.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 51c | 198.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Under | 51c | 191.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…0b0fbacked Over | 49c | 186$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Under | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…23dcbacked Over | 49c | 176$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…476bbacked Under | 51c | 172$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d5…f62bbacked Over | 49c | 152$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 51c | 145.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 51c | 139$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 51c | 134$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 124.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 51c | 119.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Under | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 104.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 65c | 81.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Under | 51c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143f…da7dbacked Under | 51c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x311f…cbd3backed Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 51c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…188cbacked Over | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 50c | 69.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a8…715bbacked Under | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Under | 51c | 65.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 61.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…1defbacked Over | 36c | 61.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 50c | 59.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 37c | 57.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c76…3006backed Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 51c | 53.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Under | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 48.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c3bebacked Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 44.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Over | 51c | 41.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 31c | 41.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafcd…8014backed Under | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…ef8ebacked Under | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.