NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62180ae6c6a9a6e3066e037e62a88a827f90d7e7c3310c13a00ee17a9750882e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Hurricanes, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Hurricanes | 37c | 2,737$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Penguins | 65c | 1,278$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff0…d281backed Penguins | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Penguins | 64c | 1,110$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hurricanes | 35c | 911.41$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.99 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…c311backed Penguins | 63c | 720$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…f4aebacked Penguins | 63c | 660$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Penguins | 56c | 471.65$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.61 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Penguins | 64c | 461.78$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.24 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Penguins | 64c | 453.94$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Hurricanes | 47c | 437$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.19 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Penguins | 70c | 302.18$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Hurricanes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Penguins | 58c | 214.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Penguins | 65c | 209$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Hurricanes | 49c | 202.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penguins | 64c | 185.8$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 42c | 182.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Hurricanes | 35c | 182.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Hurricanes | 50c | 180.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Penguins | 66c | 130.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Penguins | 64c | 125.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Penguins | 67c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Hurricanes | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Penguins | 63c | 110.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Penguins | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Hurricanes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penguins | 50c | 95.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hurricanes | 35c | 85.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Hurricanes | 37c | 80.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Penguins | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Penguins | 65c | 78.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes | 36c | 67.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hurricanes | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Penguins | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penguins | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Penguins | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Penguins | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hurricanes | 41c | 43.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Hurricanes | 46c | 41.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Hurricanes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Hurricanes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Hurricanes | 35c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hurricanes | 34c | 33.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Penguins | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Penguins | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Penguins | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Hurricanes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penguins | 58c | 28.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…ab68backed Hurricanes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Penguins | 64c | 22.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Penguins | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Penguins | 65c | 19.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…1472backed Penguins | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Penguins | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Penguins vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.