NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c2276c868d6489a645686f00919076e8bce43ec009167c9cc6d5a487643ad3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,802 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 80c | 3,176$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.56 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 2,130$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.38 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…58b4backed Under | 25c | 2,003$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 13c | 2,000$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.4 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 1,401$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.6 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 77c | 552.04$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.66 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 547.23$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 48c | 519.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Under | 12c | 420.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 150.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 52c | 146$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked Under | 52c | 119.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 73c | 111.39$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 55c | 109.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…65e7backed Under | 18c | 81.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 74c | 67.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Over | 52c | 52.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 53c | 51.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 48c | 41.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Over | 47c | 40.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 72c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 70c | 35.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 54c | 29.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 39c | 26.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 19.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Kraken vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Kraken vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.