TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$408,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,500 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Kraken62c353,676$217,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217,705.6819848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets39c150,614$58,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,874.421,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Blue Jackets38c103,971$39,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,461.7240351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Blue Jackets38c80,000$30,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,599.9824349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Blue Jackets40c10,419$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,251.2437754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blue Jackets38c6,773$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.441,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kraken60c3,142$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.6959450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kraken59c2,333$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.852,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Kraken60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9819353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Blue Jackets40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Blue Jackets42c1,429$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.5720552.2%107 W · 98 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kraken60c1,173$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.551550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Blue Jackets40c1,090$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65426551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kraken58c904.88$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8383149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blue Jackets38c897.83$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.651,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kraken61c875.14$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.6591653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Blue Jackets46c863.89$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.2136852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Blue Jackets41c838.14$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.528549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Blue Jackets40c700$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42032648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Kraken58c609.29$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.3910650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Blue Jackets42c607.07$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.16930.4%21 W · 48 L-8.8wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-34.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Blue Jackets40c565$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3393246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Blue Jackets41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29548654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Blue Jackets41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2368752.9%46 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Blue Jackets40c389$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1136648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kraken59c375.14$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3438849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked Kraken59c315.3$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Blue Jackets42c313.32$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.3233154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Blue Jackets42c311.32$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3232155.5%178 W · 143 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Blue Jackets40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013449.3%66 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Blue Jackets41c233.41$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.712755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Blue Jackets40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12011250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…f80dbacked Blue Jackets42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Blue Jackets40c195.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1515245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kraken58c172.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.922,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Kraken59c169.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Blue Jackets40c168.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.397950.6%40 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Blue Jackets44c164.59$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5924749%121 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Blue Jackets43c161.54$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5429053.4%155 W · 135 L+1.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kraken57c157.98$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.473,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Blue Jackets42c157.32$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3224352.3%127 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Blue Jackets43c155.96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9629052.4%152 W · 138 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Blue Jackets40c153.75$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2511450%57 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jackets57c151.81$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6989355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Blue Jackets40c150$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.53852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Kraken61c149$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8934752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Blue Jackets40c148$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.87152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…f9e3backed Blue Jackets40c146.85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.118354.2%45 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Blue Jackets40c145.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8149053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Blue Jackets42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8638551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Blue Jackets40c136.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7528550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Blue Jackets40c136.08$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6517458%101 W · 73 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7649…a58dbacked Blue Jackets40c131.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.751233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Kraken61c130.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666f…9860backed Blue Jackets40c126.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.849655.2%53 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Blue Jackets40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed Blue Jackets40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Kraken61c114.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017759.9%106 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Kraken33c113.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2230348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Kraken60c111.66$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6719651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Kraken61c111.48$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6821560.9%131 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Blue Jackets40c110$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6614245.1%64 W · 78 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kraken60c105.61$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.952,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Blue Jackets42c101.02$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.597749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Blue Jackets39c100.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3720857.7%120 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kraken16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Blue Jackets40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Blue Jackets58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Blue Jackets40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6022352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Blue Jackets41c97.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8118551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc516…7f3abacked Blue Jackets42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.248063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kraken42c85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.61,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kraken62c82.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5154260.3%327 W · 215 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Blue Jackets40c79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.414853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fae…d503backed Blue Jackets40c78.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.869558.9%56 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Kraken60c78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.815650%78 W · 78 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Kraken61c78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.584553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Blue Jackets40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Blue Jackets41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1754049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed Kraken60c71.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.033354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Blue Jackets42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4313547.4%64 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeab…276fbacked Kraken59c69.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Kraken16c69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.259442.6%40 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Kraken62c62.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3940162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…8b04backed Blue Jackets40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.520046%92 W · 108 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Blue Jackets76c61.17$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6148157.2%275 W · 206 L+21.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Blue Jackets40c58.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.229563.2%60 W · 35 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Blue Jackets39c56.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4838147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d26…6f74backed Blue Jackets41c56.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.12650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kraken60c53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.836748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kraken24c52.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kraken60c52.37$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.421,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d28…136bbacked Kraken21c52.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Blue Jackets40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3020364.5%131 W · 72 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8bf…997dbacked Blue Jackets40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Kraken59c38.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8616549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b22…887fbacked Blue Jackets40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick48cpaid-68.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Blue Jackets40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Blue Jackets40c36.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.942951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Blue Jackets40c36.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8311955.5%66 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.