NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f19451861934e53b24197ccccd7ed229f8c0047818451585cd93d2c67bf6d75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,274 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 42c | 95,300$40,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,273.78 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Ducks | 58c | 84,950$49,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,550.85 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Ducks | 59c | 66,849$39,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,440.91 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Flyers | 41c | 65,500$26,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,512.99 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flyers | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,499.83 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flyers | 41c | 31,067$12,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,320.83 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Ducks | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,700 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…0e0cbacked Ducks | 0c | 24,651$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Ducks | 48c | 24,374$11,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,636.98 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 43c | 20,439$8,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,728.79 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Ducks | 6c | 15,536$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.36 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked Ducks | 59c | 13,505$7,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,968.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Ducks | 59c | 13,115$7,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,738 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Flyers | 70c | 11,223$7,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.75 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Flyers | 43c | 10,465$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,965.12 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Ducks | 30c | 10,268$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.32 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flyers | 65c | 9,231$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.85 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 58c | 8,981$5,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,164.34 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 58c | 8,771$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,094.39 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 42c | 8,506$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.69 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…c442backed Ducks | 58c | 8,059$4,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Flyers | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.74 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Ducks | 6c | 6,537$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.07 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Ducks | 9c | 6,123$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.89 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 37c | 5,387$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.53 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Ducks | 58c | 5,173$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.34 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…b77ebacked Ducks | 58c | 5,019$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Ducks | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 65c | 4,655$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.79 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Ducks | 54c | 4,640$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Flyers | 42c | 4,525$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Flyers | 69c | 4,477$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.02 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Flyers | 79c | 4,433$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.68 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Flyers | 61c | 4,300$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Flyers | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Ducks | 59c | 3,781$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.83 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 37c | 3,497$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.77 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Ducks | 60c | 3,349$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Ducks | 58c | 3,348$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flyers | 43c | 3,236$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.08 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Flyers | 46c | 3,172$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.11 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Ducks | 40c | 3,030$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.55 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Flyers | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Ducks | 57c | 3,000$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.98 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Ducks | 58c | 2,800$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.99 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 46c | 2,781$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.62 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Ducks | 54c | 2,758$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.93 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Ducks | 28c | 2,638$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Flyers | 43c | 2,562$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Ducks | 0c | 2,525$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Ducks | 58c | 2,505$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.9 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Flyers | 1c | 2,445$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +4,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Flyers | 38c | 2,396$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.75 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 42c | 2,109$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.15 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 59c | 2,053$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.64 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Ducks | 54c | 2,014$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.52 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Flyers | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Ducks | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Ducks | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers | 79c | 1,953$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.5 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flyers | 41c | 1,916$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.89 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 71c | 1,899$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.19 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 57c | 1,877$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.62 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Ducks | 35c | 1,868$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.82 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers | 59c | 1,590$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.61 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ducks | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ducks | 29c | 1,486$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.87 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Ducks | 4c | 1,425$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Ducks | 21c | 1,423$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 40c | 1,324$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.55 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Flyers | 41c | 1,304$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.86 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Flyers | 43c | 1,279$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.59 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Ducks | 40c | 1,266$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.09 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Flyers | 80c | 1,197$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.36 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Flyers | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.15 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks | 19c | 1,099$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ducks | 18c | 1,076$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers | 69c | 1,060$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.98 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed Ducks | 58c | 1,057$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Ducks | 60c | 1,054$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Ducks | 38c | 1,046$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.14 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Ducks | 57c | 1,032$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.23 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Ducks | 40c | 1,024$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.09 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Ducks | 58c | 1,002$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.88 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Ducks | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…3cc4backed Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Ducks | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Ducks | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Ducks | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flyers | 77c | 961.08$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.91 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Ducks | 58c | 954$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.09 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Ducks | 58c | 948.28$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Ducks | 27c | 909.27$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Flyers | 58c | 860.64$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Ducks | 59c | 850$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.5 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Ducks | 60c | 833.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Ducks | 1c | 830$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Ducks | 11c | 809.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Ducksthis page
- Flyers vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.