NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d6aa01cbf523df10e7a32c3c88ae2fdd037c21e3d551d54d00cafa0b9e13698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,060 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 42c | 18,957$7,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,994.78 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 58c | 14,221$8,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,248.26 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 58c | 8,297$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.26 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 1,017$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 56c | 1,006$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.6 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 48c | 521.12$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.34 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 472.81$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.47 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 379.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.38 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 60c | 315$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f0…96bebacked Over | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 40c | 267.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 248.93$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Over | 58c | 225.15$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.59 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 197.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 181.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 53c | 164.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Over | 58c | 125.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 36c | 123$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 58c | 103.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcd…f802backed Under | 43c | 97.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 49c | 92.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 44c | 88.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…3e35backed Under | 57c | 84.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 20c | 84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Over | 61c | 65.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 42c | 57.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 58c | 56.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 44c | 54.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…95a6backed Over | 58c | 41.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 58c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 43c | 39.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 41c | 36.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 55c | 34.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…4339backed Over | 58c | 27.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…70f8backed Over | 58c | 24.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 57c | 24.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 56c | 24.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Over | 58c | 24.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…4c28backed Over | 60c | 24.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…bc35backed Over | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…ff4cbacked Over | 58c | 18.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 63c | 17.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5this page
- Flyers vs. DucksFlyers won
- Flyers vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.