TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,199 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3533…239dbacked Yes49c3,920$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2c…e12bbacked No51c3,920$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c3,694$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.173,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes47c699.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33016850%84 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed No53c692.45$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.455848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes37c672.97$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2493953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c667.02$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.032,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes42c629.93$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.645425.9%14 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No51c588.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.755354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No52c570.96$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3948146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-61.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes41c390.24$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes45c360$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1627424.3%18 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No51c312.4$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7963645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes12c300.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1475326.4%14 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes49c298.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0833340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes34c294.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x846d…31e3backed Yes48c262.14$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.92147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022157%126 W · 95 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes28c222.86$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5681732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes50c208.06$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.039252.2%48 W · 44 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x642e…063bbacked No51c199.98$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c00…724fbacked Yes48c192$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e6…90a0backed Yes49c178$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c85…f14ebacked Yes48c161$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f87…6458backed Yes48c161$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b44…5f27backed Yes48c157$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511543.5%50 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc4…d5b6backed Yes49c147$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…5380backed Yes48c146$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c6…316fbacked Yes49c141$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd108…8b25backed Yes48c138$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes49c129.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.76541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked No53c111.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes48c105.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.786339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf845…f3a8backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912538.4%48 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Yes30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdec8…63c3backed Yes50c99.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes47c97.59$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.134144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed No53c82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407067.1%47 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes50c78.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.242142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe91c…96f2backed No52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa789…66d5backed No53c73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0142…963ebacked No52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62a3…d7bebacked No53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09bb…5cadbacked No52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4751…080fbacked No52c67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked No53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.043063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes68c64.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449548.4%46 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe527…bae2backed No53c64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Yes23c62.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1090…b7a2backed No52c61.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d30…f22fbacked No52c61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked No53c52.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.832948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0649143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa179…258ebacked Yes50c51.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2410454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8587…76e0backed No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.57338.4%28 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes22c49.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.723438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5037…a863backed No53c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.07771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+51.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a9c…7e3abacked No53c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e8e…8792backed No53c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204630.4%14 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5500…da1bbacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207958.2%46 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…36f3backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6013…5c1ebacked No52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa179…45c8backed No52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f8…567abacked No52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes49c38.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.915433.3%18 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No52c37.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.831250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9830…1ecfbacked No52c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf06…8882backed No52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515854.4%86 W · 72 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa031…ef85backed Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1c…27acbacked No50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Yes49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.695954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked No67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3bb…67cdbacked No53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51f…ffeebacked No52c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9403…e62dbacked No53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdaa…881ebacked No52c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes48c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4410361.2%63 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc753…efeabacked No53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No61c26.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2514734.7%51 W · 96 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…c8febacked No52c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d8…4a3abacked No53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.