Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57281f3cfe3ffd86a69d7e199b3541bdc0b50bd06daa2dd1c232e2d94ff45941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borussia Mönchengladbachof Borussia Mönchengladbach, FC St. Pauli 1910
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,730 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 75c | 2,705$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.07 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 74c | 2,613$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.14 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.1 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 75c | 650$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 79c | 517.6$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.61 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 16c | 379.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 33c | 351.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.52 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…d2a3backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 74c | 304$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…9b8abacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 26c | 304$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 30c | 166.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 24c | 135.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 75c | 132$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 25c | 109.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 42c | 58.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 75c | 52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82d6…e37bbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 35c | 50.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…ba6abacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 75c | 47.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…3a56backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 76c | 43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 26c | 40.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2894…d9d8backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 74c | 39.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 76c | 38.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 42c | 32.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 75c | 13.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.