TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,737 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over42c18,719$7,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,862.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under57c11,909$6,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,120.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c7,717$4,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,302.93,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under58c4,487$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.5410154.5%55 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over43c4,388$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.6538748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over44c3,419$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002931%9 W · 20 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under58c3,113$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.513056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.0333244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over43c2,700$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16156547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c2,190$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.191,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c1,915$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.92,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under65c980$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9853645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over44c899.98$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.998248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under57c800.1$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.2635856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under59c694.92$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9218759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under40c682.86$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.7248658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over36c677.3$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.834032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over43c664.28$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.385848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under56c626.2$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.535133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over43c620.42$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over29c603$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.875425.9%14 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2585455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Under58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014260.6%86 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under56c536$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8414254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under57c525$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7549143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over43c524.98$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7411540.9%47 W · 68 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over43c516.28$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over23c513.83$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0713139.7%52 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under58c512.07$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.071050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under57c499.73$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8948146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under57c497.27$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9963645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1734…07ddbacked Over24c489.04$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022157%126 W · 95 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over62c450$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2791020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-46.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under61c410.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.083956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over30c406.49$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206030%18 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1193…e998backed Over42c400.52$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over38c399.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Over43c372.25$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over33c363.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under57c299.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12910855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over43c290.7$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over43c258.14$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11118958.2%110 W · 79 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under59c254.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3217652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.58864.8%57 W · 31 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over42c238.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010554.3%57 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over43c237.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.281553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+55.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.25236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f03…ed48backed Under58c224.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Under58c224.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under58c224.27$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.272147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under57c218.43$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9334144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac14…ad9fbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-54.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610246.1%47 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x642e…063bbacked Under57c199.98$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over43c199.16$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.412356.9%70 W · 53 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bfd…ff86backed Under58c175.19$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over15c171.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06da…0a4abacked Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+53.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Over43c155.81$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe2…e1eebacked Over43c151.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6550%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6611543.5%50 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec8…63c3backed Over44c145.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020957.4%120 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over42c139.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.513145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Under59c137$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under58c136.27$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.276845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under57c131.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.67057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over44c130.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.623246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Under59c122.03$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked Under59c119.36$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.123100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over43c115.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under71c108.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2833938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under49c102.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.734551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9338845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9914726.5%39 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.242445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under75c92.7$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.87948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under58c86.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.17966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under59c84.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.122951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under61c81.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9753140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over55c81.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under71c79.65$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.121540.9%88 W · 127 L-15.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Under58c75.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.864639.1%18 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c75.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.351,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over40c73.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4214734.7%51 W · 96 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1adb…f12abacked Over42c70.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.