TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,783 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c7,833$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.333,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over73c2,805$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.346762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over72c2,673$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over68c1,946$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.584671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under31c1,627$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.732,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under28c1,087$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.1253645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under29c999.97$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.995133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c940.82$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.431,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over71c907$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.037345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over54c735.58$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over71c734.77$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.082751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2414260.6%86 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under30c468$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.42548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over71c451$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4710361.2%63 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over72c416.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8118958.2%110 W · 79 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under29c413.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0514254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5822157%126 W · 95 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Under35c322.24$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.53944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Over66c312.36$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under28c299.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over70c287.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2620957.4%120 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under29c265.38$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0835856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under30c234$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.23345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over71c232.39$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3912271.3%87 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over66c207.49$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.555425.9%14 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946182%50 W · 11 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+18.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over66c199.96$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9914726.5%39 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2419…1e60backed Over71c199.77$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a7…a593backed Over66c196.97$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7946…387fbacked Over57c179.98$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under31c176.79$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6934144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over71c159.15$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.158959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.858056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d6…fa72backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e69…7a30backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over65c123.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.018366.3%55 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under30c120.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1648146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over69c120.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.323060%18 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4c…9907backed Under42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under35c110.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.612343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3138845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3056547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3063645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under30c96.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.671,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under31c94.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.278252.4%43 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over75c92.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1521540.9%88 W · 127 L-15.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over72c88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.757948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under31c85.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4614734.7%51 W · 96 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over75c79.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.522263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0a…caf5backed Over59c75.02$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c74.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7534655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.639067.8%61 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.464269%29 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432548%12 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under30c62.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.847766.2%51 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Under34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3033…ffd7backed Over69c56.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed Under30c53.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.06944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512843%55 W · 73 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x928e…f598backed Over65c45.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over66c45.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.132665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe966…73acbacked Under28c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.25977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under32c40.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0630647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcdd6…24c5backed Under30c38.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.233655.6%20 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e55…d06cbacked Over69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4696…b88ebacked Over70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4852…cd58backed Over71c35.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc2…e5e6backed Over71c35.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.483966.7%26 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Under30c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0314942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under37c31.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f0d…f4d9backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Over65c28.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.161947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over70c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.119254.7%105 W · 87 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over55c26.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9939558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e56…3a1ebacked Over71c25.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac8d…67e1backed Over71c22.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebc…41f2backed Over68c21.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.972142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over70c20.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.238748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1066…b3dfbacked Over77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over69c17.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.571650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over75c15.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.817463.5%47 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.