TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe966…73ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morelos: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
Asuncion: Franco Roncadelli vs Andrea Collarinibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$38.41
Morelos: Alejandro Hayen vs Andres Martinbacked Alejandro Hayen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Murcia: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$22.64
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Zadar: Martin Krumich vs Matej Dodigbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.75
Asuncion: Lautaro Midon vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
Miami Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$27.79
Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Murphy Cassonebacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$29.37
Miami Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Morelos: Alex Hernandez vs Tibo Colsonbacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.59
Miami Open, Qualification: Alexander Blockx vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
Miami Open, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Morelos: Miguel Tobon vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Miami Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Miami Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Yue Yuanbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.53
Miami Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Coleman Wongbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.91
Murcia: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$13.55
Zadar: Nerman Fatic vs Tiago Pereirabacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Zadar: Laurent Lokoli vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$19.39
Zadar: Josip Simundza vs Sergi Perez Contribacked Josip Simundza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.55
Phoenix: Marcos Giron vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$11.88
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.26
Phoenix: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$22.77
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.1
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.3
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$14.64
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.5
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$11.09
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$14.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$20.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$9.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$12.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.